基于隐马尔可夫模型的空战决策点理论研究

doi:10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2016.0220

北京航空航天大学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (3): 615-626.doi: 10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2016.0220

基于隐马尔可夫模型的空战决策点理论研究

冯超, 景小宁, 李秋妮, 姚鹏

空军工程大学航空航天工程学院, 西安 710038

收稿日期:2016-03-21 出版日期:2017-03-20 发布日期:2016-11-18
通讯作者: 景小宁,E-mail:1216682261@qq.com E-mail:1216682261@qq.com
作者简介:冯超,男,硕士研究生。主要研究方向:航空兵任务规划与训练效能评估。;景小宁,女,博士,副教授。主要研究方向:航空兵任务规划。;李秋妮,女,硕士,讲师。主要研究方向:智能算法、博弈决策与协同控制。;姚鹏,男,硕士研究生。主要研究方向:航空兵任务规划。
基金资助:
国家杰出青年科学基金（71501184）；航空科学基金（20155196022）

Theoretical research of decision-making point in air combat based on hidden Markov model

FENG Chao, JING Xiaoning, LI Qiuni, YAO Peng

College of Aeronautics and Astronautics Engineering, Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an 710038, China

Received:2016-03-21 Online:2017-03-20 Published:2016-11-18

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 从几何空战理论经过能量空战理论，直到角度空战理论，空战理论的发展更多的是从战斗机性能的角度来分析空战过程，忽略了作战飞行员在决策过程中起到的作用。本文分析空战飞机的客观数据的变化特征，提出了一种基于隐马尔可夫的近距空战流程分析方法，使用维特比算法判断飞行员在空战过程中的状态序列，从而获得了理论上的空战决策点。在理论分析上，提出了一种空战决策点理论用以评判飞行员飞行品质。通过实验仿真验证了使用隐马尔可夫模型讨论近距空战的可行性，并且发现飞行员空战决策点包络处于包围趋势时，飞行员获胜的可能性越大。

关键词: 近距空战评估, OODA环, 隐马尔可夫模型, 维特比算法, 动态规划

Abstract: From geometric air combat to energy air combat, till angle air combat theory, the process of air combat is analyzed more from the fighter performance point of view, the effect of the operational pilot in decision-making is neglected. This paper analyzes the variation characteristics of observation data in air combat, and an analysis method for close-range air combat process based on hidden Markov model is proposed. Viterbi algorithm is used to judge the pilot state sequence in air combat, and then the decision-making point is acquired in theory. Through theoretical analysis, the decision-making point in air combat is proposed to judge the pilot's flight quality. Through simulation, the feasibility of discussion of close-range air combat based on Markov model is verified, and when the pilot's decision-making point is in the tendency of surrounding, the pilot has a higher probability of winning.

Key words: evaluation of close-range air combat, OODA loop, hidden Markov model, Viterbi algorithm, dynamic programming

中图分类号:

V323

冯超, 景小宁, 李秋妮, 姚鹏. 基于隐马尔可夫模型的空战决策点理论研究[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2017, 43(3): 615-626.

FENG Chao, JING Xiaoning, LI Qiuni, YAO Peng. Theoretical research of decision-making point in air combat based on hidden Markov model[J]. JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF AERONAUTICS AND A, 2017, 43(3): 615-626.

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基于隐马尔可夫模型的空战决策点理论研究

Theoretical research of decision-making point in air combat based on hidden Markov model

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