留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

基于退化量分布时序分析的产品寿命预测

王立 李晓阳 姜同敏

王立, 李晓阳, 姜同敏等 . 基于退化量分布时序分析的产品寿命预测[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2011, 37(4): 492-498.
引用本文: 王立, 李晓阳, 姜同敏等 . 基于退化量分布时序分析的产品寿命预测[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2011, 37(4): 492-498.
Wang Li, Li Xiaoyang, Jiang Tongminet al. Life prediction of product based on degradation amount distribution time series analysis[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2011, 37(4): 492-498. (in Chinese)
Citation: Wang Li, Li Xiaoyang, Jiang Tongminet al. Life prediction of product based on degradation amount distribution time series analysis[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2011, 37(4): 492-498. (in Chinese)

基于退化量分布时序分析的产品寿命预测

基金项目: 国家安全重大基础研究项目(61312803)
详细信息
    作者简介:

    王立(1983-),女,北京人,博士生,xiaolizi1983@hotmail.com.

  • 中图分类号: TB 114.3

Life prediction of product based on degradation amount distribution time series analysis

  • 摘要: 针对现有性能退化预测方法采用单调回归函数对产品退化随机过程描述不够合理的问题,从产品在各时刻退化量分布角度出发,分析退化量分布参数估计的非平稳时序类型,并对各参数估计分别采用相应类型的非平稳时序分析方法建模,进而给出一种与实际退化随机过程更为相符的基于退化量分布的产品寿命及可靠度预测方法.通过对某电子产品的退化试验,采用所提出的寿命预测方法进行了该电子产品寿命及可靠度预测.结果表明该方法相比传统方法更符合实际.

     

  • [1] Jayaram JSR,Girish T.Reliability prediction through degradation data modeling using a quasi-likelihood approach //Proceedings Annual Reliability & Maintainability Symposium.New York:IEEE,2005:193-199 [2] Huang W,Duane L.An alternative degradation reliability modeling approach maximum likelihood estimation [J].IEEE Transactions on Reliability,2005,54(2):310-317 [3] Wilson S P,Taylor D.Reliability assessment from fatigue microcrack data [J].IEEE Transactions on Reliability,1997,46(2):165-171 [4] 邓爱民,陈循,张春华,等.基于性能退化数据的可靠性评估[J].宇航学报,2006,27(3):546-552 Deng Aimin,Chen Xun,Zhang Chunhua,Reliability assessment based on performance degradation data[J].Journal of Astronautics,2006,27(3):546-552 (in Chinese) [5] Wang Li,Li Xiaoyang,Jiang Tongmin,et al.SLD constant-stress ADT data analysis based on time series method //Proceedings 8th International Conference on Reliability Maintainability and Safety.Chengdu,China:IEEE Computer Society,2009:1313-1317 [6] 尤琦,赵宇,马小兵.产品性能可靠性评估的时序分析方法[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2009,35(5):644-648 You Qi,Zhao Yu,Ma Xiaobing.Performance reliability assessment for products based on time series analysis [J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2009,35(5):644-648(in Chinese) [7] 傅惠民.相关系数平稳过程方法[J].机械强度,2002,24(3):400-404 Fu Huimin.Method for correlation coefficient stationary process [J].Journal of Mechanical Strength,2002,24(3):400-404(in Chinese) [8] 傅惠民,刘成瑞,马小兵.时间序列均值和方差函数的确定方法[J].机械强度,2004,26(2):164-169 Fu Huimin,Liu Chengrui,Ma Xiaobing.Method for determining functions of time series mean and variance [J].Journal of Mechanical Strength,2004,26(2):164-169(in Chinese)
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:  3154
  • HTML全文浏览量:  37
  • PDF下载量:  1090
  • 被引次数: 0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2010-08-10
  • 网络出版日期:  2011-04-30

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回
    常见问答