The mission reliability of battle-plane varied under different flight profiles. According to the characteristics of battle-plane's fault data, the flight profile conversion factor was introduced to establish the mission reliability model of battle-plane. Based on the model, the statistical inference method of failure rate for battle-plane was proposed, and the mission reliability was assessed under a given flight profile. For a scenario flight profile, a synthetic method was used to describe it as a weighted combination of typical profiles. Thus, the prediction method of mission reliability under the scenario flight profile was put forward by using the failure rates under typical profiles. The illustrative example shows that the method is reasonable and straightforward for engineering.
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