北京航空航天大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2014, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (3): 85-89.DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2013.0439

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于内生增长理论的人口生育率问题研究

贺俊, 胡家连, 刘青芳   

  1. 中国科学技术大学 管理学院, 安徽 合肥 230026
  • 收稿日期:2013-09-29 出版日期:2014-05-25 发布日期:2014-05-28
  • 作者简介:贺俊(1965—),男,安徽淮南人,副教授,博士,研究方向为内生经济增长、宏观经济政策.
  • 基金资助:
    安徽省自然科学基金资助项目(11040606M22)

Study of Fertility Rate Based on Endogenous Growth Theory

He Jun, Hu Jialian, Liu Qingfang   

  1. School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Received:2013-09-29 Online:2014-05-25 Published:2014-05-28

摘要: 以成本-效用理论为基础构建一个人口内生经济增长模型来考察经济发展对人口生育的影响。 数值模拟结果表明,在稳定状态下经济发展与人口生育之间呈现倒U型关系。实证结果验证了理论分析的正确性。

关键词: 成本-效用理论, 内生经济增长, 生育率, 经济发展, 数值模拟

Abstract: Based on the cost-utility theory, this article tries to build a model of endogenous economic growth of population to indicate that economic development has an impact upon population fertility. By analyzing the result of the numerical simulation of the model, the article finds that, in the stabilized state, there exists an inverted-U'shaped relationship between the economic development and the population fertility. The result of the empirical test, to some extent, proves of the correctness of the theoretical analysis.

Key words: cost-utility theory, endogenous economic growth, fertility rate, economic development, numerical simulation

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