关键词: 全球价值链, 国家间投入产出表, 进出口贸易分解, 国际比较, 贸易顺差

Abstract:

After joining the WTO, China is becoming more and more important in the world economy. Based on inter-country input-output tables, the paper recalculated the trade balance between China and other countries and regions through global value chain (GVC). The paper decomposes China's import and export trade and comparatively analyzes the degree of involvement of other countries in GVC. The results show: under the new calculation method, the trade surplus between China and other countries such as USA is not as large as what the traditional trade statistics shows, which was overestimated by 25% on average. Through the international comparison, it is found that China's GVC participation rates in 1995-2009 show a rising trend year by year, while countries such as USA and Japan are on the decline.

Key words: Global Value Chain (GVC), inter-country input-output table, import and export trade decomposition, international comparison, trade surplus