北京航空航天大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2019, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (6): 83-91.DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2018.0177

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于SEM的大型工程建设项目社会稳定风险分析

顾广耀1, 魏法杰2   

  1. 1. 北京航空航天大学 校园规划建设与资产管理处, 北京 100083;
    2. 北京航空航天大学 经济管理学院, 北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2018-05-23 出版日期:2019-11-25 发布日期:2019-12-07
  • 作者简介:顾广耀(1982-),男,河南南阳人,博士,研究方向为项目评价、风险管理.
  • 基金资助:

    北京航空航天大学基本科研业务费专项资金(YWF-14-JSJXY-021)

Social Stability Risk Analysis of Large-scale Engineering Construction Projects Based on SEM

GU Guangyao1, WEI Fajie2   

  1. 1. Campus Planning Construction and Asset Management Department, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China;
    2. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2018-05-23 Online:2019-11-25 Published:2019-12-07

摘要:

大型工程建设项目伴随着国内经济发展而大幅增加,因而对其社会稳定风险的识别、评估及预警显得尤为迫切。有别于常规的风险识别及整体评估方法,针对关联风险因素内在关联关系的研究,有助于厘清社会稳定风险构成原理、构建预警管理体系。采用问卷调查法获取数据,经分析后构建结构方程模型(SEM),再结合评估所得的风险因素,针对某大型机场建设项目社会稳定风险实证应用该分析方法,定量分析风险构成及大小,完善社会稳定风险评估路径。

关键词: 大型工程建设项目, 社会稳定风险, 关联风险因素, 问卷调查法, 结构方程模型

Abstract:

Major construction projects increase with the development of social economy,which desiderate its social stability risks' recognition, evaluation and prevention. Research on associated risk factors' inner relationship differs from common risk recognition and evaluation, which contributes to the analysis of social stability risks' construction as well as building prevention management system. Questionnaire survey method was adopted in data collecting while structural equation modeling (SEM) in model building. Finally, with the basic of risk factors, a major airport construction project's social stability risks was put forward, whose construction and measurement can be analyzed quantitatively, so as that assessment path be completed.

Key words: major construction project, social stability risk, associated risk factors, questionnaire survey method, structural equation modeling

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