北京航空航天大学学报社科版 ›› 2020, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (3): 79-85.DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2019.0118

• 经济与管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业保险保费补贴扶贫的乘数效应——来自时间序列数据的经验证据

郑军, 王彪   

  1. 安徽财经大学 金融学院, 安徽 蚌埠 233030
  • 收稿日期:2019-04-04 发布日期:2020-06-03
  • 作者简介:郑军(1976-),男,重庆开县人,教授,博士,研究方向为农业保险与农村社会保障.
  • 基金资助:
    安徽省社会科学规划基金(AHSKY2019D089)

Multiplier Effect of Agricultural Insurance Subsidy for Poverty Alleviation: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Data

ZHENG Jun, WANG Biao   

  1. School of Finance, Anhui University of Finance&Economics, Bengbu Anhui 233030, China
  • Received:2019-04-04 Published:2020-06-03

摘要: 基于经济增长理论与农业风险管理理论,提出农业保险通过保费补贴对政府扶贫能产生乘数效应,提高农业产量,进而增加农民收入。通过构造农民收入的宏观计量模型,从农业生产技术和风险管理技术两个维度出发,探讨农业保险保费补贴扶贫的作用机制。研究发现:农业产出对农业生产技术投入的弹性为0.112 767,对风险管理技术投入的弹性为0.107 823,表现为农业保险保费补贴从农业生产技术和风险管理技术两个角度作用于农业产出,从而提高农民收入水平,这对于政府扶贫效应能产生很好的放大效果。因此,为了充分发挥农业保险的扶贫作用,政府需进一步完善农业保险补贴制度,为提高扶贫效率提供技术支撑。

关键词: 农业保险保费补贴, 扶贫, 乘数效应, 作用机制, 农业生产技术, 风险管理技术

Abstract: Based on the theory of economic growth and agricultural risk management, this paper insists that agricultural insurance can have a multiplier effect on government poverty alleviation through premium subsidy; meanwhile, increase agricultural output; and then increase farmers' income. By constructing the empirical model and starting from two dimensions of agricultural production technology and risk management technology, this paper probes into the function mechanism of agricultural insurance subsidy to alleviate poverty. The study found that the elasticity of agricultural output to agricultural technology investment is 0.112 767, the elasticity of risk management thcenology investment is 0.107 823. These findings show that agricultural insurance subsidy is used for agricultural output from two angles:Agricultural technology and risk management thcenology, and thus raises the income level of farmers and produces a good amplification effect for the government's poverty alleviation effect. Therefore, in order to give full play to and improve the efficiency of agricultural insurance poverty alleviation, the government needs to further improve the agricultural insurance subsidy system and provide technical support.

Key words: agricultural insurance subsidy, poverty alleviation, multiplier effect, action mechanism, agricultural production technology, risk management technology

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