ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C
龙 文, 王惠文. 曲线分类建模方法及其在GDP预测中的应用[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报社会科学版, 2007, 20(4): 5-8.
引用本文: 龙 文, 王惠文. 曲线分类建模方法及其在GDP预测中的应用[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报社会科学版, 2007, 20(4): 5-8.
LONG Wen, WANG Hui-wen. Predictive Modeling of Large-scale Curves and Its Application on GDP Prediction of Multi-regions[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2007, 20(4): 5-8.
Citation: LONG Wen, WANG Hui-wen. Predictive Modeling of Large-scale Curves and Its Application on GDP Prediction of Multi-regions[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2007, 20(4): 5-8.

曲线分类建模方法及其在GDP预测中的应用

Predictive Modeling of Large-scale Curves and Its Application on GDP Prediction of Multi-regions

  • 摘要: 传统方法解决大规模时序曲线的预测建模问题,需要对每条曲线逐一建模,使得建模工作量相当庞大,在实际应用中缺乏可操作性。文章提出一种解决此问题的新方法——曲线分类建模方法。该方法先减少曲线的模型种类,再进行曲线分类和分类建模,在尽可能保留原始信息的前提下较大程度地降低了建模的工作量。文章阐述了该方法的原理和计算过程,并以应用于多地区GDP曲线的预测案例说明该方法的实用性和有效性。

     

    Abstract: raditional approach to predictive modeling of large-scale sequential curves is to build model separately according to every curve, which causes heavy and complicated modeling work inevitably. Therefore the existing approach is la ck of manipulation in the application. This paper proposes a new method to solve this problem. By reducing model types of curves, clustering curves and modeling by clusters, the new method simplifies modeling work to a large extent and rese rves original information as much as possible in the meantime. This paper specif ies the theory and algorithm, and applies it to predict GDP curves of multi-reg ions, which confirms practicability and validity of the presented approach.

     

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