北京航空航天大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (2): 15-18.

• 危机管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

重大工程项目社会稳定风险评估研究——基于社会预期的视角

陈晓正, 胡象明   

  1. 北京航空航天大学 公共管理学院, 北京 100191
  • 收稿日期:2013-02-04 出版日期:2013-03-25 发布日期:2013-04-07
  • 作者简介:陈晓正(1985-),男,河南平顶山人,博士研究生,研究方向为公共政策分析、危机管理.
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金重大项目(11&ZD173);北航博士研究生创新基金资助项目(YWF-12-RBYJ-022)

A Study on Social Risk Assessment of Major Projects: from the Perspective of Social Expectation

Chen Xiaozheng, Hu Xiangming   

  1. School of Public Administration, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100191, China
  • Received:2013-02-04 Online:2013-03-25 Published:2013-04-07

摘要: 风险社会改变了重大工程项目的评价标准,也改变了项目决策的议程设置。重大工程项目日益成为诱发群体性事件等社会不稳定因素的风险源,其风险因素来自于相关利益群体对该项目在利益性、安全性和合法性上的社会预期,这种社会预期直接引发了其与社会稳定相关的行为或行为倾向。将社会预期分析纳入社会稳定风险评估框架,有利于全面客观地反映项目实施所产生的社会效果,进而更为合理有效地预防各类社会冲突事件的发生。

关键词: 重大工程项目, 社会预期, 社会稳定风险评估, 风险社会

Abstract: Risk society has changed the evaluation criterion of major projects and the agenda setting of decision-making. Major projects are becoming risk sources to social instability, which have triggered many mass incidents. Social stability risks of major projects are related to the social expectation of stakeholders, which includes three forms: benefit expectation, security expectation and legitimacy expectation. All of them lead to social instability behavior or behavioral tendencies directly. Encompassing the social expectation into the framework of social risk assessment, the social effects can be observed objectively and comprehensively, and then the social conflicts can be prevented effectively.

Key words: major projects, social expectation, social risk assessment, risk society

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