ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C

农产品创意加工策略演化与仿真

Evolutionary Game Analysis and Simulation of Creative Processing Strategies of Agricultural Products

  • 摘要: 针对创意农产品加工过程中农户与加工企业的策略选择问题,基于进化博弈理论,研究长期协同过程中的合作机制,对各群体策略选择进行演化趋势、稳定性分析,并根据2016年度北京市农业嘉年华活动期间的企业访谈数据进行仿真验证。研究发现,农户是否进行农产品质保主要受到质量投入成本、投入增长比、农产品收购价格等因素影响;而企业个体的加工决策则由加工成本、产出增长比率、产品收购价格、外部性效益共同决定。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the strategy selection of farmers and processing enterprises during the processing of creative agricultural products, we study coordination mechanism during the long-term cooperation, and make the stability analysis of the strategy selection of different groups, based on the evolutionary game theory. Then, we make numerical stimulations from the interview data collected during the 2016 Beijing Agricultural Carnival. The research shows that the strategy choice of the farmers are mainly influenced by quality cost, ratio of input to output, purchasing price of agricultural products; the strategy choice of the enterprises are codetermined by processing cost, output ratio, price, and external benefits.

     

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