ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C

职工基本养老保险统筹层次:政策变迁与扩散机制

Level of Unified Management of Basic Pension Insurance for Urban Employees:Policy Changes and Diffusion Mechanisms

  • 摘要: 全面审视职工基本养老保险统筹层次不断提高的历史进程有利于真正意义上全国统筹的实现。职工基本养老保险统筹层次变迁历程具有诱致性制度变迁与强制性制度变迁相结合的特征,变迁轨迹呈渐进式、强制性和阶梯状。在总结其变迁特征的基础上,采用事件史分析法实证分析了职工基本养老保险统筹层次政策的扩散过程。研究发现:第一,省长来自异地对于职工基本养老保险省级统收统支政策的采纳创新具有显著负向影响,并从政策属性的角度对其作出了解释。第二,在职工基本养老保险统筹层次提升进程中,区域内部因素发挥诱致性作用。邻近省份采纳省级统收统支政策的比例和中央信号的释放将显著加速政策的落地过程。这证实了职工基本养老保险统筹层次变迁历程以强制性制度变迁为主,并兼具诱致性制度变迁的特征。基于职工基本养老保险省级统收统支政策的扩散机制,提出全国统筹可以从充分考虑区域内部特征和激发地方官员的内生动力等方面促进全国统收统支政策落地。

     

    Abstract: A comprehensive review of the historical process of the continuous improvement in the level of unified management of basic pension insurance for urban employees is conducive to the realization of national unified management in the true sense. The changing process of the level of unified management of basic pension insurance for urban employees is characterized by a combination of induced and mandatory institutional changes, and the trajectory of changes exhibits a progressive, mandatory and stepped pattern. On the basis of summarizing the characteristics of the changes, the paper empirically analyzes the policy diffusion process of the level of unified management of basic pension insurance for urban employees by using the event history analysis method. The findings are as follows. Firstly, the provincial governors from different places have a significant negative effect on the adoption and innovation of the policy of provincial-level collection and payout of urban employees’ basic pension insurance funds, and an explanation has been provided from the perspective of policy attributes. Secondly, intra-regional factors play an inducing role in the process of upgrading the level of unified management of basic pension insurance. The proportion of neighboring provinces adopting the provincial-level collection and payout of basic pension insurance funds and the release of signals by the central government will significantly accelerate the process of implementing the policy. This proves that the process of changes in the level of unified management of basic pension insurance for urban employees is dominated by mandatory institutional change together with induced institutional change. Based on the diffusion mechanism of the policy of provincial-level collection and payout of urban employees’ basic pension insurance funds, it is suggested that the national unified management can promote the implementation of the policy of national-level collection and payout of basic pension insurance funds by taking the internal characteristics of the regions into full consideration and stimulating the internal motivation of local officials.

     

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