ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C

面向新型工业化的碳定价政策与创新投入协同优化

Collaborative Optimization of Carbon Pricing Policy and Innovation Investment for New Industrialization

  • 摘要: 碳定价政策是实现“双碳”目标的核心市场机制,创新发展是推动新型工业化的内在驱动力。如何协同设计碳定价政策和创新投入政策,加速工业绿色低碳转型,是中国实现新型工业化过程中的关键问题。研究构建了一个包含创新要素和创新活动部门的动态可计算一般均衡模型,重点描述创新活动对于可再生能源技术进步和工业部门能源效率提升的促进机制。基于该模型,评估不同碳定价政策和碳收入用于创新活动的多种情景的政策效果,结合新型工业化主要特征,从经济、碳排放、减排成本、能源消耗、电气化水平和创新活动水平等维度进行了模拟分析和比较,得到了优化的政策组合。结果表明,通过将碳定价政策结合碳收入按一定比例分配给创新活动部门和风电光伏,可以在实现节能减排的同时稳定经济增长,降低减排成本,提高可再生能源比例,促进能源低碳转型,实现工业部门的低碳增长,推动新型工业化进程。

     

    Abstract: Carbon pricing policy is the core market mechanism for realizing the dual carbon goal, and innovative development is the internal driving force for promoting new industrialization. How to collaboratively design carbon pricing policies and innovation investment policies to accelerate the green and low-carbon transition of the industry is a key issue in the process of achieving new industrialization in China. This paper constructs a new dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model that includes innovation elements and innovation sectors and focuses on the promotion mechanism of innovation activities for the progress of renewable energy technology and the improvement of energy efficiency in the industrial sectors. Based on this model, it evaluates the policy effects of different carbon pricing policies and various scenarios of using carbon revenues for innovation activities. Combining the main characteristics of new industrialization, the paper carries out the simulation analysis and comparison from several dimensions of economy, carbon emissions, emission reducation costs, energy consumption, electrification level, and level of innovation activities, and obtains optimized policy mix. The results show that by integrating carbon pricing policies with allocating a certain proportion of carbon revenues to the innovation activity sectors and subsidizing wind and photovoltaic power, it is likely to stabilize economic growth, reduce emission reduction costs, increase the proportion of renewable energy, promote low-carbon energy transition, achieve low-carbon growth in the industrial sectors, and advance the process of new industrialization, while realizing energy conservation and emission reduction.

     

/

返回文章
返回