ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C

地方政府债务与企业供应链信息披露

Local Government Debt and Firms' Supply Chain Disclosure

  • 摘要: 在地方政府债务高企与融资不确定性上升的背景下,企业可能通过提升供应链信息披露以缓释融资压力并稳定经营。本研究基于沪深A股上市公司数据,构建涵盖主要客户与供应商披露数量及业务占比的供应链透明度指标,系统考察地方政府债务扩张对企业供应链信息披露的影响。结果显示,地方政府债务水平的上升与企业供应链信息披露程度显著正相关,即在地方政府债务压力上升的情形下,企业倾向披露主要客户与供应商信息。机制检验表明,地方政府债务风险主要通过提升企业借贷成本和缩短信贷期限,强化企业缓解信息不对称和稳定融资预期的需求,从而影响其披露决策。进一步分析表明,内部金融资产较多、流动性缓冲较强的企业披露响应较弱;金融市场关注度越高,外部监督越充分,地方政府债务压力对企业主动披露的边际影响越弱;在行业集中度较低、竞争更激烈或产业后向关联度较弱的行业中,上述影响更为显著。研究从企业信息披露视角识别了地方政府债务风险的微观传导路径,为完善地方债务风险治理和优化供应链信息披露制度提供了政策启示。

     

    Abstract: In the context of elevated local government debt and rising financing uncertainty, firms may alleviate financing pressures and stabilize operations by enhancing supply chain information disclosure.. Using data on Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed firms, this study constructs a supply chain transparency index covering the number of disclosures and business proportions of major customers and suppliers, and systematically examines the impact of local government debt expansion on firms' disclosure behavior. The results show that increases in local government debt levels are significantly positively associated with the degree of firms' supply chain information disclosure; that is, under rising local government debt pressure, firms tend to disclose information regarding their major customers and suppliers. Mechanism tests indicate that local government debt risk primarily influences disclosure decisions by raising firms' borrowing costs and shortening loan maturities, thereby strengthening firms' need to reduce information asymmetry and stabilize financing expectations. Further analysis shows that the disclosure response is weaker for firms with more internal financial assets and and stronger liquidity buffers; the marginal effect of local government debt pressure on voluntary disclosure weakens when financial market attention and external monitoring are stronger. The effect is more pronounced in industries with low concentration, more intense competition, or weak backward linkages. This study reveals the micro-level transmission mechanisms of local government debt risk from the perspective of corporate information disclosure and provides policy insights for improving local debt risk governance and optimizing supply chain information disclosure systems.

     

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