ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C

高技术产业生命周期及其非技术因素分析

Hi-tech Industry Life Cycle and Its Non-technical Factors Influence

  • 摘要: 在前人研究的基础上,提出了高技术产业生命周期模型,认为高技术产业发展的第一循环应当经历6个阶段,即产业萌芽阶段、产业扩张阶段、产业集聚阶段、产业主导阶段、产业突破阶段和产业转移阶段。但是,高技术产业生命周期还具有明显的"衰而不亡"的特性 ,即产业存在着停滞期,这种延长的停滞期与孕育期交替出现的周期现象,具有深刻的非技术因素机理,并对非技术因素及机理进行了深入的分析。

     

    Abstract: On the basis of their predecessors, the authors of this paper put forward a high -tech industry life cycle model, and maintain that the first cycle of the high -tech industry development consists of six consecutive phases, namely, industry infancy, industry expansion stage, industry clustering, industry-led phase, in dustry breakthrough and industry transfer. However, the life cycle of high-tech industry also has obvious "bad but not fatal" characteristics, that is to say, there is a period of stagnation in the industry. This extended period of stagnat ion and the incubation period is the turn of the cycle, which has a profound mec hanism of non-technical factors. The paper gives an in-depth analysis of these non-technical factors and mechanism.

     

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