ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C
钟强晖, 朱晨, 訾书宇. 考虑成本风险的装备科研激励约束定价设计[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报社会科学版, 2024, 37(1): 117-122. DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2022.0246
引用本文: 钟强晖, 朱晨, 訾书宇. 考虑成本风险的装备科研激励约束定价设计[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报社会科学版, 2024, 37(1): 117-122. DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2022.0246
ZHONG Qianghui, ZHU Chen, ZI Shuyu. Incentive and Constraint Pricing Design of Equipment Research Taking Cost Risk into Account[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2024, 37(1): 117-122. DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2022.0246
Citation: ZHONG Qianghui, ZHU Chen, ZI Shuyu. Incentive and Constraint Pricing Design of Equipment Research Taking Cost Risk into Account[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2024, 37(1): 117-122. DOI: 10.13766/j.bhsk.1008-2204.2022.0246

考虑成本风险的装备科研激励约束定价设计

Incentive and Constraint Pricing Design of Equipment Research Taking Cost Risk into Account

  • 摘要: 带有激励约束机制的装备科研合同定价模式能够较好地适应因科研项目不确定性所带来的成本风险,而激励系数的确定是其中的关键设计。在总结和比较典型的激励约束定价设计的基础上,针对激励系数设计与科研成本风险分析未能有效结合的问题,基于项目工作分解结构(WBS),采用模拟仿真方法得到项目成本概率分布,考虑成本风险大小给出装备科研价格激励约束原则,结合成本概率分布的分位数选择成本上下限,进而确定激励系数和约束系数。同时,还进行了实例分析,结果验证了研究方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: The equipment research contract pricing model with incentive and constraint mechanism can better adapt to the price risk caused by the uncertainty of research projects, and the determination of incentive coefficient is the key of the model design. To solve the problem that incentive coefficient design is not combined effectively with the research cost risk analysis, the paper obtains the project cost probability distribution with the help of simulation method and the project work breakdown structure (WBS) after summarizing and comparing the typical incentive and constraint pricing designs. The paper also takes cost risk into account, and establishes the incentive and constraint principles of equipment research price. Based on the quantiles of the cost probability distribution, the upper and lower limits of the project cost are selected to determine the incentive and constraint coefficients. In addition, the paper carries out a case analysis to illustrate the effectiveness of the research method.

     

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