ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C
于辉, 唐林. 基于多专家评估应急预案启动的RCVaR模型[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报社会科学版, 2012, (6): 20-24.
引用本文: 于辉, 唐林. 基于多专家评估应急预案启动的RCVaR模型[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报社会科学版, 2012, (6): 20-24.
Yu Hui, Tang Lin. The RCVaR Model of Contingency Plans’Activation Based on Multiple Experts’Evaluation[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2012, (6): 20-24.
Citation: Yu Hui, Tang Lin. The RCVaR Model of Contingency Plans’Activation Based on Multiple Experts’Evaluation[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2012, (6): 20-24.

基于多专家评估应急预案启动的RCVaR模型

The RCVaR Model of Contingency Plans’Activation Based on Multiple Experts’Evaluation

  • 摘要: 何时启动应急预案是企业应对突发事件的关键点。在对相关文献资料分析的基础上,提出一套基于多专家评估的应急预案启动方法,创新性地将多专家的意见嵌入决策过程中,用RCVaR模型作为决策目标研究突发事件下应急预案的启动问题。研究发现,RCVaR价值模型能很好地处理多专家应急评估经验,能为预案的启动提供基于过程参与的决策支持。

     

    Abstract: When to activate contingency plans is the key point for corporations to deal with unexpected events. This paper gives a method of multiple experts to activate contingency plans based on analysis of relative research. It creatively puts experts' suggestions in the process of decision, and view relative RCVaR as the decision goal to study when to activate contingency plans. The research finds that RCVaR mode can deal with contingency experiences from multiple experts, and it can provide support for the decision makers in the process of decision.

     

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