Empirical Research on the Influencing Factors of China Meat Products Trade Fluctuation: Based on Constant Market Share Model

Based on the data from UN COMTRADE, this paper analyzed the present situation of Chinese meat products trade from 1992 to 2014. And Constant Market Share Model was applied to analyze the influencing factors of the import and export changes of Chinese meat products. The results showed that in terms of exports, growing demands in the international meat markets was the most significant driving force for Chinese meat export growth. Meanwhile the change of the competitive power and the structure of export products also had an important impact on export. In terms of imports, the competitiveness of foreign meat products was the most principal reason for the growth of China's meat products imports. Besides, the optimization of import structure and the rapid growth of meat products supply in the international market were the key factors that promoted the growth of China's imports of meat products as well.