ISSN 1008-2204
CN 11-3979/C
LONG Wen, WANG Hui-wen, LI Da-peng. Simulation and Analysis of Probable SARS Recurrence[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2003, 16(3): 1-4.
Citation: LONG Wen, WANG Hui-wen, LI Da-peng. Simulation and Analysis of Probable SARS Recurrence[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Social Sciences Edition, 2003, 16(3): 1-4.

Simulation and Analysis of Probable SARS Recurrence

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  • Received Date: July 03, 2003
  • Published Date: September 24, 2003
  • By defining an indicator index system that depicts the epidemic situation of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome(SARS), this paper presents a predictive modeling of SARS epidemic. The simulation about the epidemic situation of SARS recurrence is studied based on this modeling. Accordingly the time limit for healthcare system to take actions if SARS recurs is suggested. The result of research indicates that SARS can get control at the beginning if effective actions are taken in time, hereby large-scale prevalence of SARS will be avoided.
  • [1] 王惠文,李大鹏,龙文.SARS疫情的状态评估和预测建模研究[J].北京航空航天大学学报(社会科学版),2003,(2):1-6.
    [2] 郇极.SARS疫情预测数学模型(概要和计算示例)[R].北京航空航天大学机械工程与自动化学院,2003-04-17.
    [3] 王正行. 北京SARS疫情60天的初步分析[R]. 北京大学物理学院,2003-05.

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