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基于方差的保障时间不确定性分析

吴勇 潘星 康锐 马麟

吴勇, 潘星, 康锐, 等 . 基于方差的保障时间不确定性分析[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2013, 39(11): 1455-1459.
引用本文: 吴勇, 潘星, 康锐, 等 . 基于方差的保障时间不确定性分析[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2013, 39(11): 1455-1459.
Wu Yong, Pan Xing, Kang Rui, et al. Variance-based uncertainty analysis methods of logistic support time[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2013, 39(11): 1455-1459. (in Chinese)
Citation: Wu Yong, Pan Xing, Kang Rui, et al. Variance-based uncertainty analysis methods of logistic support time[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2013, 39(11): 1455-1459. (in Chinese)

基于方差的保障时间不确定性分析

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71171008)
详细信息
  • 中图分类号: TB114.3

Variance-based uncertainty analysis methods of logistic support time

  • 摘要: 装备的保障过程由于受到保障活动参数的影响存在着较大的不确定性.针对保障过程的不确定性问题,建立了基于方差的保障活动不确定性重要度作为保障过程全局敏感性分析指标;根据保障过程工期的GERT(Graphic Evaluation and Review Technique)模型,设计了一种基于方差的保障时间不确定分析方法来计算保障活动的时间不确定性重要度,并对该方法进行解析求解,给出了具体步骤.最后,将舰载机航空保障作为案例,验证了方法的有效性.

     

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2013-06-28
  • 刊出日期:  2013-11-30

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