Multiple fault diagnosis method with unreliable test
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摘要: 针对部队复杂系统故障诊断中存在的诊断精度低,虚警率高等问题,提出一种测试不可靠条件下多故障诊断方法.为解决系统诊断贝叶斯网络结构和概率映射表建立困难的问题,通过建立系统的多信号流图模型,从而获得系统诊断贝叶斯网络.将测试不可靠度引入概率映射表,增加了算法工程应用中的鲁棒性.利用后验概率诊断推理将问题归结为不等式约束极值问题,采用0-1规划隐数法对不等式极值问题求解,从而获得最优解.以某型导弹制导系统电子部件为例,验证了该方法对复杂系统多故障诊断的有效性.Abstract: Aiming at low diagnosis precision and high false alarm of complex systems diagnosis, a multiple fault diagnosis method was proposed. In order to solve the difficulties of building Bayesian networks’ structure and conditional probabilities table, the system-s multi-signal flow graphs model was built. By introducing unreliability probability into conditional probabilities table, the proposed method-s robustness was enhanced. The problem was concluded as the extreme value problem with inequality constraints by using Bayes maximal posterior probability. The optimized result was obtained by the 0-1 programming implicit enumeration. The electronic equipment of guidance system was explored to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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