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Volume 40 Issue 11
Nov.  2014
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Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics  > 2014  >  40(11): 1512-1517.
Shen Jingsong, Liu Ye, Hu Songjie, et al. Space debris environment modeling in low earth orbit based on resident time ratio[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2014, 40(11): 1512-1517. doi: 10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2013.0716(in Chinese)
Citation: Shen Jingsong, Liu Ye, Hu Songjie, et al. Space debris environment modeling in low earth orbit based on resident time ratio[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2014, 40(11): 1512-1517. doi: 10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2013.0716(in Chinese)
shu

Space debris environment modeling in low earth orbit based on resident time ratio

doi: 10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2013.0716
  • 1.

    School of Astronautics, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100191, China

  • 2. Science and Technology on Aerospace Flight Dynamics Laboratory, Beijing Aerospace Control Centre, Beijing 100094, China

  • 3. School of Astronautics, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100191, China

  • Received Date: 06 Dec 2013
  • Publish Date: 20 Nov 2014
    Abstract
  • For the distribution analysis of space debris in the low earth orbit, a new statistical modeling method for space debris was proposed based on the debris resident time in the space grid. Polynomial fitting and extraction techniques for debris resident time statistic were introduced to obtain the basic modeling datum. Then, the distribution and evolution regularity of debris in low earth orbit was studied by virtue of the polynomial prediction, polynomial interpretation, time serials analyses and so on according to the modeling datum storage. Finally, a modeling case utilizing the two line elements (TLEs) was given. The modeling results were validated by the ORDEM2000 model. Some subtle distribution regularities were deduced. The modeling method and analysis results are helpful for researches on orbit designing, collision risk evaluation and collision defense for spacecraft long-term flying in the low earth orbit.

     

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