Citation: | HUO Yurong, LI Zhi, HAN Leiet al. Computation method of collision probability of space object based on Laplace transformation[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2018, 44(4): 810-819. doi: 10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2017.0263(in Chinese) |
The collision probability of space object is an important information for judging whether a collision occurs in the space debris collision warning, and is important for the maneuvering avoidance of the spacecraft. Based on the Laplace transformation and the definition of the power series, the collision probability calculation method and the collision probability expression expressed by the power series in the short-term encounter were discussed. The truncation error in the form of power series was determined and the number of terms of power series was analyzed under different precision requirements. The results of collision probability calculation based on Laplace transformation are compared with those of Chan method and Monte Carlo method for 2009 US-Russian satellite collision event. The validity of Laplace transformation method and the advantage of computing accuracy are verified.
[1] |
ALFANO S.Satellite conjunction Monte Carlo analysis[J].Advances in the Astronautical Sciences, 2009, 134:2007-2024. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/285978385_Satellite_conjunction_Monte_Carlo_analysis
|
[2] |
FOSTER J L, ESTES H S. A parametric analysis of orbital debris collision probability and maneuver rate for space vehicles: NASA/JSC-25898[R]. Houston: NASA Johnson Space Flight Center, 1992.
|
[3] |
PATERA R P.General method for calculating satellite collision probability[J].Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics, 2001, 24(4):716-722. doi: 10.2514/2.4771
|
[4] |
ALFANO S.Satellite collision probability enhancements[J].Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics, 2006, 29(3):588-592. doi: 10.2514/1.15523
|
[5] |
CHAN F K.Collision probability analysis for earth orbiting satellites[J].Advances in the Astronautically Sciences, 1997(96):1033-1048. doi: 10.2514/6.2010-2298
|
[6] |
CHAN F K.Spacecraft collision probability[M].El Segundo, CA:Aerospace Press, 2008.
|
[7] |
陈磊, 韩蕾, 白显宗, 等.空间目标轨道力学与误差分析[M].长沙:国防科技大学出版社, 2010:178-180.
CHEN L, HAN L, BAI X Z, et al.Orbit target orbit mechanics and error analysis[J].Changsha:National University of Defense Technology Press, 2010:178-180(in Chinese).
|
[8] |
SERRA R, ARZELIER D, JOLDES M, et al.Fast and accurate computation of orbital collision probability for short-term encounters[J].Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics, 2016, 39(5):1-13. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2016JGCD...39.1009S
|
[9] |
ALFRIEND K T.AKELLAM R, FRISBEE J, et al.Probability of collision error analysis[J].Space Debris, 1999, 1(1):21-35. doi: 10.1023/A:1010056509803
|
[10] |
AKELLA M R, ALFRIEND K T.Probability of collision between space objects[J].Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics, 2000, 23(5):769-772. doi: 10.2514/2.4611
|
[11] |
ALFANO S.A numerical implementation of spherical object collision probability[J].Journal of the Astronautical Sciences, 2005, 53(1):103-109. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20150020449&qs=Nm%3D123%7CCollection%7CNASA%2520STI%7C%7C17%7CCollection%7CNACA%26N%3D4294946866%2B4294963248
|
[12] |
CHEVILLARD S, MEZZAROBBA M. Multiple-precision evaluation of the Airy Ai function with reduced cancellation[C]//21st IEEE Symposium on Computer Arithmetic (ARITH). Piscataway, NJ: IEEE Press, 2013: 175-182.
|
[13] |
GAWRONSKI W, MVLLER J, REINHARD M.Reduced cancellation in the evaluation of entire functions and applications to the error function[J].SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis, 2007, 45(6):2564-2576. doi: 10.1137/060669589
|
[14] |
HACKBUSCH W, SCHWARZ H R.Teubner-taschenbuch der mathematik[M].Berlin:Springer, 2013:595.
|
[15] |
李甲龙, 熊建宁, 许晓丽, 等.碰撞风险评估标准适用性分析[J].天文学报, 2014, 55(5):404-414. http://edu.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/Detail/twxb201405005
LI J L, XIONG J N, XU X L, et al.A research on adaptability of collision criteria[J].Acta Astronomica Sinica, 2014, 55(5):404-414(in Chinese) http://edu.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/Detail/twxb201405005
|