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Volume 28 Issue 5
May  2002
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Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics  > 2002  >  28(5): 593-596.
JU Yan-bing, FENG Yun-cheng, WANG Ai-huaet al. Overbooking Risk of Civil Aviation Transportation[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2002, 28(5): 593-596. (in Chinese)
Citation: JU Yan-bing, FENG Yun-cheng, WANG Ai-huaet al. Overbooking Risk of Civil Aviation Transportation[J]. Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2002, 28(5): 593-596. (in Chinese)
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Overbooking Risk of Civil Aviation Transportation

  • 1.

    Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, School of Economics and Management

  • 2. Peking University,Dept. of Computer Science and Technology

  • Received Date: 24 May 2001
  • Publish Date: 31 May 2002
    Abstract
  • Based on the experiences of managing risks of civil aviation companies, a Value at Risk (VaR) procedure was proposed to control overbooking risk．The calculation method of extra number of single-line and the representation of VaR of multi-line were given respectively． One whole company's VaR in a day was obtained from analyzing the relativity of return about different flights. Finally, an example on the risk analysis of one scheduled flight from Beijing to Hongkong was given to demonstrate the feasibility of VaR in the risk management of civil aviation transportation.

     

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  • [1] 万圣锋,张朋柱,李鸿可．企业资金运营风险管理研究[J]．系统工程理论与实践,2000,16(4):36~41． [2]刘 军．航空客运收益管理与风险决策理论及其应用研究 ．北京:北京航空航天大学经济管理学院,2000． [3]杨思梁．最盈利的管理方法——论收益管理[M]．北京:航空工业出版社,2000． [4]陈 武,杨家本．采购过程风险管理[J]．系统工程理论与实践,2000,16(6):54~59． [5]范 英. VaR方法及其在股市风险分析中的应用初探[J]．中国管理科学,2000,8(3):26~32．
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