基于联系云的飞机轮胎滑水风险可拓评价模型

李岳; 周则圆; 蔡靖

doi:10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2023.0136

基于联系云的飞机轮胎滑水风险可拓评价模型

doi: 10.13700/j.bh.1001-5965.2023.0136

李岳¹,
周则圆¹,
蔡靖^{1, 2, ,}

1.
中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院，天津 300300
2.
民航机场智能建造与工业化工程技术研究中心，天津 300456

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金(52472369)；中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(3122019103)；民航机场智能建造与工业化工程技术研究中心开放课题(MHJGKFKT-01,MHJGKFKT-04)

详细信息

通讯作者:
E-mail：jcai@cauc.edu.cn

中图分类号: U416.217；V351.11
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- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2023-03-23
- 录用日期: 2023-05-29
- 网络出版日期: 2023-06-15
- 整期出版日期: 2025-03-27

Extensible evaluation model of aircraft tire hydroplaning risk based on connection cloud

LI Yue¹,
ZHOU Zeyuan¹,
CAI Jing^{1, 2
, ,}

1.
College of Transportation Science and Engineering，Civil Aviation University of China，Tianjin 300300，China
2.
Intelligent Construction and Industrialization Engineering Technology Research Center of Civil Aviation Airport，Tianjin 300456，China

Funds: National Natural Science Foundation of China (52472369); The Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (3122019103); Open Project of the Intelligent Construction and Industrialization Engineering Technology Research Center of Civil Aviation Airport (MHJGKFKT-01,MHJGKFKT-04)

More Information

Corresponding author: E-mail：jcai@cauc.edu.cn

摘要

摘要:
针对飞机轮胎滑水问题影响因素多、评价指标具备随机模糊与离散性特征问题，基于联系云可拓理论建立滑水风险评价模型，定量描述滑水评价指标在不同分类等级之间的转换态势。根据评价指标分级标准确定联系云数字特征，生成有限区间内联系云，由云相关度构建联系云可拓矩阵，结合变权权重综合评定最终风险等级，表征待评价物元与风险等级之间的动态联系；依托飞机轮胎滑水流固耦合仿真获得案例分析数据，弥补经典滑水试验工况变量条件少的不足。分析结果表明：传统正态云模型与可拓联系云模型对滑水事件样本1和样本3评价结论一致；对于样本2，由所提方法计算滑水风险等级为Ⅲ级，同等参数条件下风险控制标准更严格，上述样本风险评价置信因子均小于0.01，评价可信程度较高；所提分析模型为多重不相容指标的随机模糊及不确定性分析提供了可能，克服了正态云模型无法有效模拟指标在有限区间内分布的缺陷。
- 轮胎滑水 /
- 联系云 /
- 可拓理论 /
- 流固耦合 /
- 风险评价
Abstract:
Since aircraft tire hydroplaning can be influenced by several factors, and the characteristic of evaluation indexes can be described as fuzzy, random, and discrete, a hydroplaning risk evaluation model based on extension theory and connection cloud was established, so as to quantify the transformation of hydroplaning evaluation indexes among different classification levels. The numerical characteristics of the connection cloud were calculated according to the leveling criteria of evaluation indexes, and the connection cloud within a limited range was generated. The extensible matrix of the connection cloud was built by using certainty degrees. In this way, the final risk level could be obtained on the basis of variable weights, which demonstrated the dynamic connection between elements to be evaluated and risk level. The case analysis data was obtained by the fluid-solid coupling simulation of aircraft tire hydroplaning to make up for the lack of variable conditions in the classic hydroplaning test. The analysis results show that the evaluation conclusions of sample 1 and sample 3 are consistent based on the traditional normal cloud model and extensible connection cloud model. The hydroplaning risk level of sample 2 is given as Ⅲ by using the proposed model in this paper. Therefore, the risk control is considered more restrict under the same parameter condition. The confidence factor of the above sample risk assessment is less than 0.01, and the credibility of the evaluation results is high. The proposed model in this paper provides an alternative method for random-fuzzy and uncertainty analysis involving multiple incompatibility indexes. Hence, the defect of the normal cloud model in simulating the distribution of evaluation indexes within a limited range can be overcome.
- tire hydroplaning /
- connection cloud /
- extension theory /
- fluid-solid coupling /
- risk evaluation

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图 1 联系云模型数字特征

Figure 1. Numerical characteristic of connection cloud model

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 2 基于联系云的ATH可拓评价流程

Figure 2. Extension evaluation process of ATH based on connection cloud

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 3 典型轮胎滑水CEL算法仿真模型

Figure 3. Typical simulation model of tire hydroplaning based on coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian algorithm

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 4 评价指标隶属ATH风险等级标准联系云

Figure 4. Standard connection clouds of evaluation index under different membership of ATH risk grades

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

表 1 ATH风险等级评价指标分类标准

Table 1. Classification standards of evaluation indexes for ATH risk grades

风险等级	滑行速度/ (km∙h⁻¹)	积水厚度/ mm	摩擦系数	单轮轴载/ kN	刻槽深度/ mm
Ⅰ	≤200	≤5	>0.7	>123.1	>5
Ⅱ	≤230	≤8	≤0.7	≤123.1	≤5
Ⅲ	≤260	≤11	≤0.6	≤107.3	≤4
Ⅳ	>260	>11	≤0.6	≤91.7	≤3

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表 2 滑水事故征候跑道运行参数组合

Table 2. Parameter combination of operating runway of hydroplaning symptoms

样本	滑行速度/ (km∙h⁻¹)	积水厚度/ mm	单轮轴载/ kN	刻槽深度/ mm	摩擦系数
1	220	3	138.8	6	0.76
2	250	5	100.4	5	0.66
3	280	8	76.5	2	0.60

下载: 导出CSV

表 3 ATH风险安全性评价结果及对比

Table 3. Safety evaluation results of ATH risks and comparison

样本	综合云相关度				置信因子	稳定性等级与起降条件
样本	Ⅰ	Ⅱ	Ⅲ	Ⅳ	置信因子	本文方法	正态云法	规范判定
1	0.9229	0.0687	0.0082	0	0.0039	Ⅰ	Ⅰ	允许起降
2	0.2127	0.4418	0.3903	0.0376	0.0012	Ⅱ	Ⅲ	允许起降
3	0.0007	0.1713	0.2885	0.5462	0.0083	Ⅳ	Ⅳ	允许起降

下载: 导出CSV

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