On-orbit life re-evaluation technology and prospects for electromechanical products in response to demand for China Space Station lifespan extension
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摘要:
针对中国空间站延寿对准确定量开展机电产品在轨寿命再评估的迫切需求，在借鉴国际空间站寿命评估与延寿成功经验和中国空间站研制阶段寿命评估技术的基础上，较为系统地综述了空间站延寿需求下机电产品在轨寿命再评估技术，并给出了技术发展趋势和建议。该技术包括以地面试验数据为主和综合天地数据两类，涵盖寿命评估结果常规修正、综合动作和退化效应的寿命试验再评估、寿命试验复杂动态剖面再设计、多层级加速寿命试验与评估、综合辐照环境下寿命再评估、天地多源数据再筛选和寿命再评估、智能故障诊断和退化预测、基于天地数据迁移学习的寿命评估、基于在轨试验的寿命再评估9项具体技术。研究体现了中国空间站进入长期在轨运营阶段后，对机电产品寿命再评估工作的新思考和新理念，将服务中国空间站延寿这一长期的系统工程。
Abstract:This paper systematically reviews an on-orbit life re-evaluation technology specifically designed for electromechanical products in response to the urgent need for quantitatively re-evaluating the on-orbit life of electromechanical products amid the lifespan extension of China Space Station. It does this by drawing on successful experiences from International Space Station lifetime evaluations and extensions as well as methods used during the development phase of China Space Station. Furthermore, we present technical development trends and offer pertinent recommendations. The suggested technology falls into two main categories: those that combine on-orbit and ground telemetry data and those that are mostly based on ground test data. It encompasses 9 specific techniques, among which are the traditional correction of lifetime evaluation outcomes, the re-evaluation of lifetime tests factoring in both integrated operations and degradation effects, complex dynamic profile re-design for lifetime tests, multi-level accelerated lifetime testing and evaluation, the re-evaluation of lifetime in integrated irradiation environments, the re-screening and re-evaluation of multi-source data stemming from both ground and space, intelligent fault diagnosis and degradation prediction, lifetime evaluation leveraging transfer learning between ground and on-orbit telemetry data, and the re-evaluation of lifetime based on on-orbit testing. This technology embodies innovative considerations and concepts for the re-evaluation of electromechanical product lifetimes as the China Space Station embarks on its protracted on-orbit operational phase. It stands poised to bolster the long-term and systematic endeavor aimed at extending the operational lifespan of the China Space Station.
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图 1 中国空间站研制阶段机电产品寿命评估技术
Figure 1. Life evaluation technology for electromechanical products during China Space Station development phase
图 2 中国空间站在轨运营阶段机电产品寿命再评估技术
Figure 2. Life re-evaluation technology for electromechanical products during China Space Station on-orbit operation phase
图 3 加速寿命评估结果常规修正示意图
Figure 3. Schematic diagram of routine corrections to accelerated life evaluation results
图 4 综合动作和退化效应的典型寿命试验剖面
Figure 4. Typical life test profile combining action and degradation effects
图 5 舱外电动工具锂电池典型的复杂动态寿命试验剖面
Figure 5. Typical complex dynamic life test profile for lithium-ion batteries of extravehicular power tools
图 6 多层级加速寿命试验与评估示意图
Figure 6. Schematic diagram of multi-level accelerated life test and evaluation
图 7 空间环境地面模拟装置综合辐照模拟舱
Figure 7. Integrated irradiation simulation chamber of the space environment simulation rescearch infrustructure
图 9 空间站流体回路泵退化预测软件界面
Figure 9. Space station fluid loop pump degradation prediction software interface
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