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摘要:
针对不确定信息下的空战目标威胁评估问题,提出了一种基于粗糙集(RS)理论和指标重要性相关(CRITIC)法的目标威胁评估模型。首先,通过CRITIC法确定准确信息下的目标威胁值,利用数据挖掘(MD)启发式算法求解最佳分割集合,将目标威胁值离散化处理后替代粗糙集决策信息系统中的决策属性。其次,基于构建的完备粗糙集决策信息系统,通过决策矩阵实现属性约简和目标威胁评估最小决策规则提取。最后,将规则应用于不确定信息下的目标威胁评估。仿真结果表明:所提模型能够实现信息缺失下的目标威胁评估,减少了主观因素和先验知识的影响,扩展了粗糙集理论应用范围。
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关键词:
- 威胁评估 /
- 粗糙集(RS) /
- 指标重要性相关(CRITIC)法 /
- 决策规则 /
- 不确定信息
Abstract:Aiming at the problem of air combat target threat assessment under uncertain information, a threat assessment model based on Rough Set (RS) and Criteria Importance Though Intercrieria Correlation (CRITIC) method is proposed. Firstly, the model determines the target threat value under accurate information by CRITIC and the optimal segmentation set is solved by Mining Data (MD) heuristic algorithm. After the threat value is discretized, it replaces the decision attribute in the rough set information system. Secondly, based on the complete rough set decision information system, attribute reduction and minimum decision rules extraction of target threat assessment are realized by decision matrix. Finally, the export rules are applied to target threat assessment under uncertain information. Simulation results show that proposed method can achieve the target threat assessment in the absence of information, and reduces the influence of subjective factors and prior knowledge, and expands the application of rough set theory.
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表 1 战术意图威胁值
Table 1. Tactical intention threat value
战术意图 攻击 干扰 掩护 规避 意图威胁值 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 表 2 空战态势信息
Table 2. Air combat situation information
目标 机型 战术意图I φ/(°) q/(°) v/(m·s-1) D/km hd/km 1 F-16C 攻击 80 150 330 50 -1.5 2 F-16C 掩护 65 110 310 70 1.2 3 F-15E 掩护 -45 120 315 65 1.4 4 F-15E 干扰 -70 140 330 60 -0.7 5 F-5E 攻击 110 -120 340 50 -1.2 6 F-5E 干扰 85 -130 320 60 -0.5 表 3 目标属性威胁值
Table 3. Target attribute threat value
目标 TI TA Tv Td Th 1 0.75 0.8 0.639 0.625 0.707 0.65 2 0.75 0.3 0.486 0.469 0.303 0.38 3 1 0.3 0.458 0.484 0.389 0.36 4 1 0.5 0.583 0.531 0.500 0.57 5 0.5 0.8 0.639 0.594 0.707 0.62 6 0.5 0.5 0.597 0.500 0.500 0.55 表 4 属性权重
Table 4. Attribute weight
属性 a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 权重 0.329 0.0807 0.164 0.135 0.142 0.149 表 5 目标威胁值及决策属性值
Table 5. Target threat value and decision attribute value
目标 1 2 3 4 5 6 目标威胁值 0.857 0.307 0.406 0.75 0.804 0.543 决策属性值 5 0 1 3 4 2 表 6 灰色关联度极大熵模型求解
Table 6. Grey relation maximum entropy model solution
属性 权重 目标 目标威胁值 a1 0.305 1 0.922 a2 0.149 2 0.261 a3 0.152 3 0.354 a4 0.125 4 0.717 a5 0.131 5 0.883 a6 0.138 6 0.525 表 7 决策信息
Table 7. Decision information
U 条件属性C 决策属性值 a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 x1 2 3 4 2 4 4 5 x2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 x3 4 1 1 1 2 1 1 x4 4 2 2 2 2 3 3 x5 1 3 4 4 4 4 4 x6 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 表 8 决策矩阵
Table 8. Decision matrix
U x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6 x1 a2a3a4a5a6 a1a2a3a4a5a6 a1a2a3a5a6 a1a4 a1a2a3a5a6 x2 a1a5 a1a2a3a4a5a6 a1a2a3a4a5a6 a1a2a3a4a5a6 x3 a2a3a4a6 a1a2a3a4a5a6 a1a2a3a4a6 x4 a1a2a3a4a5a6 a1a3a6 x5 a2a3a4a5a6 x6 表 9 目标威胁评估规则集
Table 9. Target threat assessment rule set
规则集 规则(属性类别,属性值) 规则前件 规则后件 1 (a1, a1(xi))∧(a2, a2(xi)) (D, D(xi)) 2 (a1, a1(xi))∧(a3, a3(xi)) (D, D(xi)) 3 (a1, a1(xi))∧(a4, a4(xi)) (D, D(xi)) 4 (a1, a1(xi))∧(a6, a6(xi)) (D, D(xi)) 5 (a3, a3(xi))∧(a4, a4(xi))∧(a5, a5(xi)) (D, D(xi)) 6 (a4, a4(xi))∧(a5, a5(xi))∧(a6, a6(xi)) (D, D(xi)) 表 10 不确定空战态势信息
Table 10. Uncertain air combat situation information
目标 机型 I φ/(°) q/(°) v/(m·s-1) D/km hd/km 1 F-16C 攻击 60 * * 55 -0.85 2 F-15E * -65 145 300 * -0.77 3 * 干扰 90 -135 345 53 * 4 F-15E * -55 140 325 62 -0.3 表 11 离散化不确定空战态势信息
Table 11. Discrete uncertain air combat situation information
目标 a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 1 2 3 * * 3 3 2 4 * 2 1 * 3 3 * 2 4 4 4 * 4 4 * 2 2 2 2 -
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