Analysis of Growth Pattern in Typical Imitative Innovation Institution
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摘要: 通过对北京航空材料研究院(BIAM)5种典型仿效技术创新项目产品产值时间序列进行统计分析,建立其成长模型,并实际验证该模型的正确,从而了解仿效技术创新项目的成长过程.实证分析中还发现仿效创新项目收入占总收入比例的成长符合逻辑斯蒂或龚帕斯模型.Abstract: Based on the analysis of the actual statistical data of the product values of five representative imitative innovation projects in time sequence, the growth pattern of the imitative innovation project in the representative aeronautical institution (BIAM) was set up. The model was checked with the actual data. Therefore, the growth dynamics of the imitative innovation project in the aeronautical institution was recognized. It is found that the increase trend of the ratio value of the imitative innovation project income to the total project accords with the Logistic or Comperz curves.
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Key words:
- functions /
- regression analysis /
- model building /
- imitative technique innovation
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[1] 傅家骥,姜彦福,雷家肃主编.技术创新——中国企业发展之路[M].北京:企业管理出版社,1992. [2]陈玉祥,张汉亚.预测技术与应用[M].北京:机械工业出版社,1985.
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